BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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West Des Moines Dowling

Class: 4A Class Rank: 8 Conference: (17-7) Overall: (17-7) Overall Strength =   80.53

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2003 Away    L *  62.47  59   64   4A   38 ( 6-16) Newton                -17.46     12.46                      
  2 12/05/2003 Away    L *  63.81  56   73   4A   13 (17- 7) Southeast Polk        -16.12     -0.88                      
  3 12/12/2003 Home    W *  91.39  53   39   4A   10 (15- 7) Indianola              11.46      2.54                      
  4 12/16/2003 Home    W *  66.11  61   46   4A   47 ( 0-22) Des Moines North      -13.82 *   28.82                      
  5 12/19/2003 Away    W *  91.08  62   42   4A   35 ( 7-16) Ankeny                 11.15      8.85                      
  6 01/02/2004 Home    L *  77.91  62   63   4A    9 (18- 6) Johnston               -2.02      1.02                      
  7 01/06/2004 Home    W *  88.75  68   57   4A   12 (19- 7) Ottumwa                 8.82      2.18                      
  8 01/09/2004 Away    W *  91.41  58   43   4A   23 (11-11) Urbandale              11.48      3.52                      
  9 01/13/2004 Away    W *  91.48  85   68   4A   27 (15-10) Marshalltown           11.55      5.45                      
 10 01/16/2004 Home    W *  81.89  54   49   4A   13 (17- 7) Southeast Polk          1.96      3.04                      
 11 01/17/2004 Away    W *  84.57  58   49   4A   25 (12-11) WDM Valley              4.64      4.36                      
 12 01/20/2004 Home    W *  79.46  56   44   4A   33 ( 7-15) Des Moines Lincoln     -0.47     12.47                      
 13 01/23/2004 Away    L *  70.31  54   65   4A   10 (15- 7) Indianola              -9.62     -1.38                      
 14 01/27/2004 Home    L *  71.84  58   65   4A    7 (16- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt   -8.08      1.08                      
 15 01/30/2004 Home    W *  88.16  80   59   4A   35 ( 7-16) Ankeny                  8.23     12.77                      
 16 02/03/2004 Home    W *  78.18  72   58   4A   37 (10-13) Mason City             -1.75     15.75                      
 17 02/06/2004 Away    W *  83.83  66   65   4A    9 (18- 6) Johnston                3.90     -2.90                      
 18 02/10/2004 Away    W *  83.31  69   66   4A   15 (15- 8) Ames                    3.38     -0.38                      
 19 02/13/2004 Home    L *  71.49  57   58   4A   23 (11-11) Urbandale              -8.44      7.44                      
 20 02/20/2004 Home    W *  79.76  62   56   4A   20 (15- 8) Des Moines Hoover      -0.17      6.17                      
 21 02/27/2004 Home    W *  76.98  62   43   4A   45 ( 1-21) Fort Dodge             -2.95     21.95                      
 22 03/02/2004 Home    W *  76.46  54   45   4A   33 ( 7-15) Des Moines Lincoln     -3.47     12.47                      
 23 03/05/2004 Away    W *  96.77  53   39   4A    7 (16- 6) Des Moines Roosevelt   16.84     -2.84                      
 24 03/09/2004 Neutral L *  70.87  61   71   4A    9 (18- 6) Johnston               -9.06     -0.94                      
      Averages              79.93  61.7 55.3

Best game:   96.77 = 14 point win over Des Moines Roosevelt
Worst game:  62.47 = 5 point loss to Newton
Team stdev:   9.55